A Virginia victory on Tuesday may be within reach for former President Donald Trump, according to new polling data showing that he is winning over a key voting group.
A new Cygnal survey shared with Secrets said that the Republican is gaining with non-college-educated voters, which is key to winning in the Commonwealth.
What’s more, Virginia is rare in which voters feel good about the direction under Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin.
But in the commonwealth that hasn’t picked a Republican presidential candidate in 20 years, Vice President Kamala Harris also has some big positives, such as winning more college-educated voters than President Joe Biden did in 2020. And, said Cygnal, she leads Trump overall by seven points, 50%-43%.
Trump is visiting southern Virginia Saturday, hosting a rally in Salem, which is on I-81 near Blacksburg, home to Virginia Tech, and just west of Roanoke.
A Roanoke College poll released Friday showed Trump 10 points behind Harris, 51%-41%.
When all the dust settles this election, we will see that voters 18-29 are breaking from the norm. Harris will drastically underperform both Biden and Clinton with this group and @morgonnm explains exactly why! https://t.co/694pgfTKix
— Mitchell Brown (@MitchStoneBrown) October 29, 2024
“Trump continues to gain ground among non-college educated voters whereas Harris is performing on par with Clinton and Biden’s number from 2016 and 2020,” said Cygnal pollster and director of political strategy Mitch Brown.
“Combine Trump’s gains and Harris’ flatlines with the fact that 55% of Virginia voters think the Commonwealth is headed in the right direction and over 52% approve of the job Governor Youngkin is doing means the momentum is with Republicans with just to go to Election Day,” he added.
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The Cygnal poll was also good news for Youngkin, who has a 52%-40% favorable to unfavorable rating.
And it also showed that Lt. Gov. Winsome Sears is in the driver’s seat in her bid to grab the GOP nomination to succeed Youngkin in Virginia’s 2025 gubernatorial election.
