Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-CO) may face an uphill battle as she seeks a second term in office due to recent polls showing the Republican firebrand is in a statistical tie with her Democratic challenger.
About 47% of likely Colorado voters said they were planning to vote for Boebert compared to 45% who said they’d back Adam Frisch, according to polling by Keating Research — making the race well within the survey’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points. Another 7% of voters remain undecided.
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“With Boebert under 50%, that means she is vulnerable to losing this race,” Chris Keating, president and founder of Keating Research, told Axios.
The race marks a major shift toward Frisch, who was polling five points behind Boebert in July when 49% said they’d back the Republican incumbent compared to the Democrat’s 42%.
The biggest movement is among the district’s unaffiliated voters, according to pollsters. Just two months ago, unaffiliated voters preferred Frisch by eight percentage points, but that gap has now widened to 25 points, according to the most recent data by Keating Research. About 57% of unaffiliated voters now prefer Frisch — who make up 44% of the district’s active voting population — compared to 32% who say the same about Boebert, the data show.
Despite the tightening margin, some experts believe the race is not competitive and that Boebert is likely to cruise to victory as Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District overwhelmingly leans toward the Republicans. However, several unaffiliated voters have turned away from Boebert because of her far-right stances on guns, immigration, and other issues.
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Boebert has quickly become a rising star among the Republicans during her first term in Congress, often grabbing headlines for making controversial comments and also emerging as a fundraising juggernaut during the midterm cycle.
Keating Research’s poll surveyed voters from Sept. 29-Oct. 2 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
