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October 12, 2022

Today’s story spotlights the downward spiral of the Biden Administration.  Myriad crisis-level issues abound.  Almost all go unresolved amid the overwhelming “noise” created by constant emergencies.  Policy and action all gridlocked, great fear and consternation among our allies, all of who know all too well Biden’s inability to govern.

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At my local homeowner’s association, there’s a joke that the board may change, but the issues are always the same. And, so it is with our nation’s problems. Today, government solves little but tries to manage everything, usually to the minimum acceptable consensus level so that they can then move on to the next pressing issue. The “Noise” of an issue (how much press, attention, and urgency of an issue) determines how our leaders react and how they spend their time or spin an issue.

On February 24th, Russian armor crossed the frontier from three separate directions with the intent to topple Ukraine in a 72-hour blitzkrieg. America had not delivered significant quantities of lethal aid as had been requested and now was in panic mode. In fact, on February 26th, Biden ordered U.S. planes to stand by to airlift President Zelensky, his family, and other select Ukrainians out of harm’s way. Biden believed that Ukraine would soon be no more and he wanted no martyrs. Everything said and done before the invasion was window dressing to appear to be a staunch ally. Biden made the calculus that there was insufficient political capital to gain by saving Ukraine.  Drumbeats of the Afghanistan debacle rang loudly in his ears.

When you think strategically, you don’t react to individual events, trendlines, or objectives.  Personal core principles inform your actions. Biden does not think strategically. Biden reacts to perceptions, emotions, and by his actions creates a personal reality that is frequently at odds with the truth.

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When Zelensky did not play along and famously said, “The fight is here; I need ammunition, not a ride,” Biden got a finger in the eye. Zelensky’s statesmen-like pronouncement was the moment President Biden lost control of that narrative. Biden’s initial plan to stay out of the war was now out the window. In essence, Zelensky was leading America, not Biden. “Noise” had set Biden’s agenda.

Ukraine can be used as a proxy to explain other decisions. Biden never intended Europe and the U.S. to become embroiled in a proxy war with Russia. He was willing to sacrifice Ukrainians. Biden did not want to divert us from his focus on Climate Change/Social Change. Unfortunately for him, unexpected events sometimes take precedence. Ukraine did not lie down and die as Biden expected. Ukrainians decided to live or die free, rather than living on their knees.

That kind of national pride is something that some Americans seem to have forgotten. I was taught that freedom is not free. The under-50 crowd believes freedom is a given.  Only now may some of our overparented young and listless children start to get a glimpse of what real life doesn’t guarantee!

Sending a plane to save Zelensky was really about saving Biden politically. It was at least 60 days later before our intelligence services and the Pentagon began to believe that there was a path forward for Ukraine to survive.  This change created an existential crisis for the Biden administration and highlights how Biden’s thinking forced him down a path of action he did not choose.

But, exactly what kind of action? This is the most telling part of the story. The choices that confronted Biden were:

  1. Do nothing that would enrage the Bear.
  2. Go all in and beat back the Bear
  3. Keep the Ukrainians alive but with the likelihood of stalemate, which would be a loss to the West and Ukraine, but a win for the Bear.

Biden got his political advisers together and his favorite focus group to formulate our vital (for him) public-relations response. Keep in mind that the table was already set back in 2014 when Obama and Biden blinked as Russia invaded Crimea and Eastern Ukraine.  Obama was frozen at the switch and reacted by loading up B-52s with a load of rhetoric and bombing the stuffing out of Putin. Take that, Vladimir!  And, to add insult to injury, we would not recognize Putin’s war gains and we would throw in a few of those feckless sanctions for good measure.