According to a newly released Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll, Trump leads 47% to 43% over Harris, figures which are outside the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Nevertheless, 8% of likely voters from the poll indicated that they are undecided, meaning the race could break for either candidate.
“It’s a really close race. Neither side has this in the bag,” University of Georgia political scientist Trey Hood, who oversaw the poll, told the outlet. “And that makes the next two weeks even more important.”
Since the last AJC poll in September, Trump’s support remains virtually unchanged, while Harris’s support dropped by 1 point in the state. The number of undecided voters has also hardly changed.
Around three-quarters of black Georgia voters said they will vote for Harris, which is behind President Joe Biden’s strong pull with the demographic. In 2020, he received 88% of the black vote in Georgia. This statistic, though, does not mean Trump is pulling their vote, as around 20% of black voters said they are undecided, and just 8% said they will vote for Trump.
Eleven percent of Democrats say they’re undecided, but few are backing third-party candidates such as the Green Party’s Jill Stein. Trump is winning over all but 5% of Republicans and has won over 80% of conservative voters.
There is also a gender gap here, with Trump leading 59% to 28% among men and Harris leading 55% to 37% among women. Around 11% of men and 6% of women are undecided in Georgia.
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Voters for either candidate are expressing higher levels of enthusiasm surrounding voting since Biden excited the race. About 96% of likely voters say they were somewhat or very enthusiastic about their voting for their preferred choice.
Both Trump and Harris are eyeing Georgia in the final weeks of campaign season. In 2020, Biden flipped the state by a little more than 10,000 votes, marking the first time since 1996 that the state awarded its electoral votes to a Democrat.