Electoral ratings for five House races moved into more favorable territory for Democrats, including two Iowa House seats held by Republicans, according to a new analysis from the Cook Political Report.
Iowa‘s 1st and 3rd congressional districts, represented by Reps. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA) and Zach Nunn (R-IA), respectively, have been changed from “lean Republican” to “toss-up.”
The Cook Political Report called Miller-Meeks “a uniquely weak incumbent” who voters still have not warmed up to as Democrats hope to unseat her.
Private polling shows Vice President Kamala Harris is carrying Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District, which Nunn represents and narrowly won in 2022 against Democratic incumbent Cindy Axne.
Democratic National Committee Chairman Jaime Harrison was in Iowa on Friday afternoon as he hosted a press call with campaign armchairs touting Democrats’ ability to win across the board. Democrats control the White House and Senate but are hoping to flip the House.
“We’re going on offense in states like New York, California, and even Iowa, where chairman Harrison is right now, and Alabama,” said Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-WA), head of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. “Those are places that don’t get much national attention, but they illustrate how broad our map is, and our investment in these states reflects how confident we are in the role they will play in retaking the House majority.”
Democratic Reps. Frank Mrvan, who represents Indiana’s 1st District, and Eric Sorensen, of Illinois’s 17th District, both saw their races move from “lean Democrat” to “likely Democrat.”
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GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke’s (R-MT) reelection hit a snag with the CPR moving Montana’s 1st District from “likely Republican” to “lean Republican.”
The analysis pointed to Zinke’s “baggage” as former President Donald Trump’s interior secretary as a key vulnerability. Zinke resigned from the administration due to multiple ethics investigations. Democrat Monica Tranel, who lost to Zinke in 2022, is using the rematch to remind voters of Zinke’s 18 federal investigations on TV, as is the House Majority PAC.
