A YouGov poll of seven swing states, including Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, shows President Joe Biden trailing behind former President Donald Trump by as much as 7%.
The poll was conducted between July 4 and July 12 by the University of Stanford, Arizona State University, and Yale University, which was in the aftermath of the debate fallout but before the attempted assassination of Trump.
Compared to a poll conducted in March, Trump’s lead in Arizona stays the same. In Nevada, Georgia, and Michigan, Trump’s lead increased by 1% and by 2% in North Carolina. Trump saw the greatest boost in support in Wisconsin, up by 6%, and in Pennsylvania, boosted by 4%.
In all of these states, the majority of voters said they believed Trump had a greater chance of defeating Biden in November.
With polling taking place just a week after Biden’s disastrous performance in the first presidential debate, at least two-thirds of voters in each swing state said Biden was too old to be president. Meanwhile, Trump, who is only about four years younger than Biden, did not elicit that same level of concern among voters. At most, Trump was concerned about being old for president by 40% — more than a 20% gap.
However, aside from Biden’s age, voters expressed great concern over the status of the economy.
In each state, at least two-thirds of registered voters said the national economy was fair or poor, as opposed to it being excellent or good. The majority of swing state voters have low hopes for economic growth. There are more voters who believe the national economy is getting worse than those who believe it is improving.
Meanwhile, despite concerns that Biden negatively affected down-ticket races, Democratic candidates for Senate in swing states continue to lead Republicans in the polls.
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A Democrat currently holds a Senate seat in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, with Arizona and Michigan being open seats. While it’s typical for an incumbent to hold an advantage over the challenging candidate, in Arizona, Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ), a Democrat hopeful, is leading Republican candidate Kari Lake by 8%. In Michigan, Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) is leading Republican candidate Mike Rogers by 9%. Nevada has the smallest gap in the senate swing state elections, with Sen. Jack Rosen (D-NV) leading by 7%.
The Washington Examiner reached out to the Biden and Trump campaigns for comment.
