Political strategist David Axelrod has questioned if President Joe Biden can win reelection in 2024, noting that recent polling should cause “legitimate concern.”
Axelrod expressed his concern on social media, sharing polling data that showed former President Donald Trump beating Biden by 4 to 11% margins in five out of six swing states, including Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Nevada; Biden beat Trump in Wisconsin by just 2%. Trump is considered by many to be Biden’s likely opponent, as the former president is still leading the Republican Party’s 2024 primary election.
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“Only @JoeBiden can make this decision,” Axelrod wrote on X, the platform once known as Twitter. “If he continues to run, he will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. What he needs to decide is whether that is wise; whether it’s in HIS best interest or the country’s?”
Only @JoeBiden can make this decision. If he continues to run, he will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. What he needs to decide is whether that is wise; whether it’s in HIS best interest or the country’s?
— David Axelrod (@davidaxelrod) November 5, 2023
Axelrod also described Trump as a “dangerous, unhinged demagogue” with a disdain for rules and democracy that should make him “disqualifying.” However, he noted that miscalculation in the 2024 election could spell defeat for Biden in his pursuit for reelection, and that such miscalculation is “too dramatic to ignore.”
The new polling also found that voters under the age of 30 prefer Biden over Trump by only 1%, with Biden’s support from Hispanic voters also going down. Additionally, black voters also registered 22% in support of Trump, according to new polling data from The New York Times and Siena College.
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Trump is still leading the Republican Party’s 2024 primary race, beating out the likes of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former United Nations ambassador Nikki Haley, and business entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy. It comes despite the former president facing multiple indictments, which started being issued in April.
With Biden running for reelection and Trump leading the primary, it sets the table for a potential rematch between the two candidates. However, both will also have to contend with Robert Kennedy Jr., an independent candidate who left the Democratic Party’s 2024 primary in October. Recent polling found Trump and Biden in a virtual tie without Kennedy, but with the independent candidate, he would potentially take more votes away from Trump than Biden.
