President Joe Biden is going to need to replicate his 2020 success with several key voting blocs in order to be elected to a second term. However, he may struggle to do so.
Young, Hispanic, and working-class voters are important for the president’s reelection chances but also could be his undoing if the lack of enthusiasm among these voting blocs continues.
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In recent elections, young voters have overwhelmingly supported Democrats, acting as a boost to their candidates.
A CNN exit poll from the 2020 election showed Biden won voters ages 18-29 by a 60%-36% margin over then-President Donald Trump, which was the most lopsided of any of the age ranges.
Shortly after Biden entered office, in March 2021, he had a 53% approval rating with those ages 18-39, according to an NPR-Marist poll.
As his time in office has continued, Biden’s approval rating has tanked among all groups, but especially with younger voters. A May 2023 poll from NPR-PBS-Marist shows Biden with a 44% approval rating among those ages 18-29 and a 45% approval rating among adults ages 30-44.
Biden is also slipping with Hispanic voters after several flubs during his term have pushed the once solidly Democratic voting group to opt more for Republican candidates in recent years. In the 2020 election, Biden carried Latinos by a 65%-32% advantage over Trump.
The Associated Press reports that in the 2022 midterm elections, Democratic candidates only won 57% of Hispanic voters — a steady decline from the 2020 presidential election and the 2018 midterm elections.
Working-class voters, another formerly Democratic stronghold, are also less enthusiastic about Biden as more working-class voters say the Republican Party represents them more than the Democratic Party.
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A Deseret News-HarrisX poll showed that 40% of working-class voters believe the Republican Party best represents their interests and views, compared to only 36% who say the Democratic Party better represents them.
Biden has attempted to brand himself as “Scranton Joe,” discussing his sympathy for the working class in the past, but those attempts do not appear to be working going into his reelection campaign, which he announced earlier this year.
