November 23, 2024
Continuing Jobless Claims Keep Rising, California Initial Claims Crash

After the prior week's surge to 10-month highs (on the back of California claims suddenly soaring after Newsom introduced his brilliant $20 min wage fast food gambit), analysts expected a small dip in claims last week... and they were right with initial claims falling from 243k (revised up) to 238k (worse than the 235k exp)...

Source: Bloomberg

Remember the prior week's surge in claims was driven by California...

...well guess which state saw claims plunge last week...

Source: Bloomberg

Continuing claims rose once again, holding above the $1.8mm Maginot Line and back near the highest since Nov 2021. The trend (4wk ma) in initial claims is clear though...

Source: Bloomberg

Is this data just bad enough to help with The Fed's case for Biden-enabling rate-cuts?

Tyler Durden Thu, 06/20/2024 - 08:51

After the prior week’s surge to 10-month highs (on the back of California claims suddenly soaring after Newsom introduced his brilliant $20 min wage fast food gambit), analysts expected a small dip in claims last week… and they were right with initial claims falling from 243k (revised up) to 238k (worse than the 235k exp)…

Source: Bloomberg

Remember the prior week’s surge in claims was driven by California…

…well guess which state saw claims plunge last week…

Source: Bloomberg

Continuing claims rose once again, holding above the $1.8mm Maginot Line and back near the highest since Nov 2021. The trend (4wk ma) in initial claims is clear though…

Source: Bloomberg

Is this data just bad enough to help with The Fed’s case for Biden-enabling rate-cuts?

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