With less than 48 hours until polls close, several key races in the House and Senate that will determine which party gains control of Congress for the next two years remain uncertain.
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Polling released in the final days leading up to election night shows Democrats and Republicans neck and neck in a handful of consequential elections. Here’s a breakdown of where some of the most closely watched Senate races stand:
New Hampshire
In New Hampshire, where Sen. Maggie Hassan is seeking to defend a challenge from Republican Don Bolduc, the polls have grown increasingly tight as Election Day has neared.
In a final poll released on Saturday, Hassan led Bolduc by just 1 percentage point, with 49% backing the Democratic incumbent compared to 48% for Bolduc, according to the latest survey from InsiderAdvantage. National average polling from FiveThirtyEight shows Hassan slightly ahead with 48.7% to 46.7%, giving her a narrow advantage heading into the election.
However, national average polling from election forecaster RealClearPolitics shows a tighter contest, with Hassan only leading 47.7% to Bolduc’s 47%.
The race is still rated to lean Democratic, according to the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Georgia
The Senate race in Georgia between Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) and Republican Herschel Walker has remained razor-thin in the final days before the election.
Recent polling from Marist College released one week before Election Day shows Warnock leading 49% to 45%, giving the incumbent a comfortable lead. However, national average polling from FiveThirtyEight shows Walker leading but only by 0.1 percentage points — giving the race a good chance of leading into a runoff election that won’t be determined until long after the polls close.
The race has been deemed a toss-up.
Nevada
Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto appears to have an uphill battle to defend her seat in Nevada as recent polling shows Republican Adam Laxalt with a narrow lead.
The most recent poll from InsiderAdvantage released on Saturday shows Laxalt with a 6-point lead over Cortez Masto, leading 50% to 44%. National average polling from FiveThirtyEight also puts him ahead with a narrow advantage, leading 46.9% to Cortez Masto’s 45.7%.
The race is considered to be a toss-up, according to the Cook Political Report.
Ohio
One of the most contentious Senate races, the contest in Ohio has trended more toward Republican J.D. Vance defeating Democrat Tim Ryan.
The most recent polling shows Vance with a healthy lead over Ryan, with a survey from Emerson College in the week before Election Day showing the Republican leading, 44% to 53%. National average polling from FiveThirtyEight shows Vance with a 4.7-point advantage, leading Ryan 49.1% to 44.4%.
The race is now considered to lean Republican, according to the Cook Political Report.
Wisconsin
Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is fighting off a reelection challenge from Mandela Barnes, holding a slight lead over his Democratic opponent.
The latest polling shows Johnson leading 50% to Barnes’s 47%, according to a survey released from the Trafalgar Group on Saturday. National average polling shows Johnson leading by 3.3 points.
The race is expected to lean Republican.
Arizona
The Senate race in Arizona remains uncertain as Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly and Republican Blake Masters remain neck and neck in the polls.
The most recent polling from InsiderAdvantage shows Kelly and Masters in a dead heat, with both polling 48% — with the remaining 2% going toward third-party candidate Marc Victor, who dropped out last week. National average polling gives Kelly a slight advantage, leading Masters 48.1% to 46.3%, according to FiveThirtyEight.
Pennsylvania
One of the most closely watched midterm races, the Pennsylvania Senate race has remained a toss-up in the days leading up to Election Day.
The most recent polling shows Democrat John Fetterman and Republican Mehmet Oz in a near tie, with Oz narrowly leading 46% to 48%, according to InsiderAdvantage. National average polling from FiveThirtyEight Shows Fetterman with a 0.4-point lead.
The race is still considered to be a toss-up.
North Carolina
The Senate race between Republican Ted Budd and Cheri Beasley also remains close, with Budd narrowly leading his Democratic challenger in the polls.
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The latest polling shows Budd leading Beasley 52% to 47%, giving him a healthy 5-point lead ahead of Election Day, according to a survey from East Carolina University. National average polling shows Budd with a 3.8-point advantage.
The race is rated to lean Republican, according to the Cook Political Report.
