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November 20, 2022

I want us to win the presidency in 2024.  Whether it’s with Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Pompeo, or an as yet unknown candidate, I don’t care.  I want the Biden clown car gone.  I want America to cease being the sclerotic, corrupt, genderless laughingstock that Islamic terrorists don’t even bother denouncing anymore. 

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At this point, it’s beyond politics.  My family can’t survive financially under four more years of Biden.  I can’t retire with the damage he’s doing to my investment plans.  We don’t have the resources for private or home school so that we don’t need to worry about our children getting story hour lap dances from a Ru Paul wannabe.  We postpone vacations because the theme parks and hotels are cheaper than the gas needed to get there.  We stopped going to the Big City because we don’t want to get mugged in broad daylight in the “good” areas.  Our grocery bills are approaching our mortgage payments.  Each week, our room to maneuver in every aspect of life gets smaller and smaller.  Everything we’ve worked for to better our lives and secure our kids’ futures is being actively and intentionally destroyed by a vindictive and spiteful Left that views my very existence as abhorrent. 

I am what you might call a Former Trumper.  I voted for Trump in the 2016 primaries, the 2016 election, and the 2020 election.  I now want Trump gone because I think he would lose decisively in 2024.  My argument is that DeSantis is eminently winnable, and by Reaganesque margins.  That DeSantis is Trumpism 2.0, without the baggage.  That DeSantis doesn’t represent the “hold your nose and vote” candidates so enthusiastically promoted by the RINO elite, but rather a bona fide, effective, and disciplined conservative with a former swing-state to prove it.

To me, that seems like a better argument than You’re all clueless losers, and when I order you to jump, the only question you should be asking is, “How high?”  And if my argument proves incorrect, I certainly won’t blame, six years later, those who were correct.  My résumé isn’t illustrious enough to supersede basic decency.  But apparently, the writers of National Review don’t agree with this approach. 

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In contemporary American conservativism, there exist roughly three blocks of voters: Only Trumpers, Former Trumpers, and Never Trumpers.  The vast majority of us fall into the first two groups.  The Never Trumpers at National Review comprise a miniscule fraction of this pie, and their influence to effect anything positive for the movement is nonexistent.  Methinks this, not Donald Trump, is the true source of their resentment. 

The Only Trumpers and Former Trumpers are currently tussling for the future of the Republican Party.  I’ve made my case for Ron DeSantis.  Regardless, my arrogance doesn’t outweigh my understanding that both sides need each other if we’re going to win.  We both need to work together.  We both need to make compromises.  We both need to hash this out with mutual respect, not for purposes of Machiavellian manipulation, but because we actually respect each other

Trump was our nominee in 2016 because the McConnell caste and their sniffing eunuchs at National Review snubbed the base.  If Trump is our nominee in 2024, it will be because the McConnell caste and their sniffing eunuchs at National Review snubbed the base.

In the past two weeks alone, Trump has managed to lose both a solid chunk of conservative voters as well as their public voices.  Trump lost the New York Post, the Washington Times, and the Wall Street Journal.  Trump lost Winsome Sears and Mick Mulvaney.  Trump lost Victor Davis Hanson, Candace Owens, and Laura Ingraham.  Trump lost his own daughter Ivanka.  Trump lost Kurt Schlichter, for crying out loud.

A YouGov poll, conducted after the midterms, showed that a majority of Republican voters now favor Ron DeSantis (42%) to Donald Trump (35%) in a hypothetical 2024 lineup.  This is a reversal from the previous month.  DeSantis beat Trump among independents, and nearly tied him among “strong Republicans”.  Other polls here, here, here, here, here, and here are showing similar tectonic reversals. 

It appears that a majority of Republicans are deciding that Trump is more trouble than he’s worth.  He is significantly less popular now than he was two weeks ago.  Two weeks ago, he was less popular than he was in 2020.  There is nothing indicating that this trend will change direction.  To paraphrase Napoleon on when your enemy is making mistakes, all you have to do is sit back and let it happen.