Whatever you think of Donald Trump's performance during Monday's debate, or the fact that Kamala Harris didn't turn into a puddle of word salad before our very eyes, it didn't hurt the former president.
According to several post-debate polls, Trump not only gained swing voters, pollster Nate Silver projects that Trump will win the election.
🚨 BREAKING: Trump ticks back to being the 61% favorite in Nate Silver’s election model after more polls release
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
🔴 Trump: 61% (+22.3)
🔵 Harris: 38.7%
The model also gives Trump a 63% chance of winning PENNSYLVANIA, and a 52% chance at MICHIGAN.
Silver Bulletin | Sept. 13 pic.twitter.com/URsjPvtt9m
Meanwhile, BuzzFeed of all outlets saw a 5-point delta in Trump's favor with undecideds.
🚨 Buzzfeed finds Trump leads with undecideds by 5 points post-debate, improves from pre-debate. WOW.
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
PRE-TO-POST DEBATE:
🔴 Trump 39% ➡️ 42% [+3]
🔵 Harris 36% ➡️ 37% [+1]
🟡 Still undecided: 21% pic.twitter.com/5Pa8ZooLHX
And in the key swing state of Michigan, more voters switched from Harris to Trump after the debate.
🚨 BREAKING: MICHIGAN poll finds more voters switched from Harris to Trump after the debate
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
🔴 To Trump: 5% (+2)
🔵 To Harris: 3%
🟡 No switch: 90%
🟠 Unsure: 2%
Mitchell | Sept. 10 | N=600LV pic.twitter.com/2ybhFjgO4H
What's going on here? We were reliably told it was over for Trump.
Whatever you think of Donald Trump’s performance during Monday’s debate, or the fact that Kamala Harris didn’t turn into a puddle of word salad before our very eyes, it didn’t hurt the former president.
According to several post-debate polls, Trump not only gained swing voters, pollster Nate Silver projects that Trump will win the election.
🚨 BREAKING: Trump ticks back to being the 61% favorite in Nate Silver’s election model after more polls release
🔴 Trump: 61% (+22.3)
🔵 Harris: 38.7%The model also gives Trump a 63% chance of winning PENNSYLVANIA, and a 52% chance at MICHIGAN.
Silver Bulletin | Sept. 13 pic.twitter.com/URsjPvtt9m
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
Meanwhile, BuzzFeed of all outlets saw a 5-point delta in Trump’s favor with undecideds.
🚨 Buzzfeed finds Trump leads with undecideds by 5 points post-debate, improves from pre-debate. WOW.
PRE-TO-POST DEBATE:
🔴 Trump 39% ➡️ 42% [+3]
🔵 Harris 36% ➡️ 37% [+1]
🟡 Still undecided: 21% pic.twitter.com/5Pa8ZooLHX— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
And in the key swing state of Michigan, more voters switched from Harris to Trump after the debate.
🚨 BREAKING: MICHIGAN poll finds more voters switched from Harris to Trump after the debate
🔴 To Trump: 5% (+2)
🔵 To Harris: 3%
🟡 No switch: 90%
🟠 Unsure: 2%Mitchell | Sept. 10 | N=600LV pic.twitter.com/2ybhFjgO4H
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) September 13, 2024
What’s going on here? We were reliably told it was over for Trump.
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