The country’s largestauto union will strike beginning at midnight Friday morning after negotiations with the Big Three automakers came up short, with three locations set to strike.
“This is our generation’s defining moment,” United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain said at a press conference Thursday night. “The world is watching.”
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The numbers involved with the action are substantial. The union represents some 150,000 workers at General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis, the company that took over Chrysler’s operations. Collectively, the auto companies are called the “Big Three.”
Fain said the strike would begin if the union, in the two hours before midnight, did not reach a deal with the Big Three, emphasizing that “all options remain on the table.”
The UAWpresident previously signaled there would bestrategically targeted strikes at specific plants instead of a complete across-the-board work stoppage.
The three locations selected to strike at midnight are the GM Wentzville Assembly, Stellantis Toledo Assembly Complex, and the Ford Michigan Final Assembly and Paint plants.
Workers not in striking locations will continue to work under expired contracts, Fain clarified.
“We must show the companies that you are willing to stand up and strike at a moment’s notice,” he said.
There are serious business and economic implications for the move.
The last time there was a UAW strike, a six-week stoppage against GM in 2019, it cost the automaker $3.6 billion. Additionally, Michigan experienced a recession during that quarter because of the high volume of GM workers employed there.
The decision to strike strategically is likely being made to ratchet pressure on the Big Three while insulating as many UAW members as possible.
Just a 10-day work stoppage at the plants would result in $900 million in losses for UAW workers and $1 billion for the automakers themselves. In total, it would cost the U.S. economy more than $5.5 billion, according to an estimate from the Anderson Economic Group.
While it’s unclear what the cost of such targeted strikes would be, Patrick Anderson, the CEO of the Anderson Economic Group, told the Washington Examiner this week there are“considerable risks” for both the UAW and automakers with the strategy.
“The idea of ‘targeted strikes’ …is clearly intended to keep the strike going longer,” Anderson said. “But it has the potential risk of causing a shutdown at many points, not just the ones that they pick as strike targets.”
The UAW wants major pay boosts for hourly workers over the life of the four-year contract being negotiated. Union leadership also wants a cost-of-living allowance tied to inflation, particularly given the massive price increase notched over the past few years.
“Yes, we’re demanding double-digit pay raises. Big Three CEOs saw their pay spike 40% on average over the last four years. We know our members are worth the same and more,” the union said on its website.
The UAW also wants to eliminate wage tiers and provide workers with a better work-life balance, including more time off for members to spend with families.
The strike Fain announced was previously approved by an overwhelming majority of union members. The UAW voted by a 97% margin to give the green light to a strike.
The strike isn’t entirely surprising given that Fain was recently elected to lead the UAW and narrowly ousted the union’s previous president by running a campaign in part pushing for a more confrontational stance in contract negotiations.
President Joe Biden also faces a challenge with the strike. He has touted himself as the most pro-union president in history and doesn’t want to lose those bona fides by appearing to land on the side of the automakers. Blue-collar union members comprise a sizable chunk of the electorate in key swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.
At the same time, a protracted and messy strike would have negative effects on the economy, already a political vulnerability for Biden. It would give the GOP more ammo to attack Biden for allowing such a major economic impediment to occur under his guidance and could also hurt the president’s economic approval.
White House officials have been walking a fine line with their messaging, urging both sides to come to an agreement that is fair to workers. White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre addressed the issue at a news conference this week.
“The president believes that auto workers deserve a contract that sustains middle-class jobs,” Jean-Pierre said. “He’s encouraged the parties to stay at the table and to work 24/7 to get a win-win agreement that keeps UAW workers at the heart of our auto future and ensures UAW jobs are good middle-class jobs.”
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Fain said he would be joining picketers at the Michigan assembly plant at midnight Friday morning and that there would be a mass rally at the UAW-Ford Joint Trust Building in Detroit.
“We must show the world that our fight is a righteous fight,” Fain said.
