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October 10, 2022

Hurricane season is upon Southeastern America and that means hair-on-fire hysteria from the media and the political left. After Hurricane Ian ravaged southwest coastal Florida, we have heard nothing but hype from the corporate media, eager to connect every hurricane to catastrophic global warming, climate change, or whatever excuse they are currently using to usher in the Green New Deal and tyrannical top-down control of all aspects of our lives.

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Hurricanes are not new and are a staple of southern coastal regions since long before Ron DeSantis was governor, Donald Trump owned Mar-a-Lago, or Americans burned fossil fuels to move them from place to place or heat and cool their homes. Yet judging from media histrionics, severe hurricanes are only a recent phenomenon, ignoring hundreds or thousands of years ago when Florida was nothing but a swamp.

Hurricane harpies in the media, practicing one of the Democrats’ favorite strategies of never letting a crisis go to waste, were quick to pounce on tragedy for political gain. Look at some of the headlines, all singing in perfect harmony.

From the Washington Post, “How climate change is rapidly fueling super hurricanes.” NPR proclaimed, “Climate change makes storms like Ian more common.” CBS News lamented, “How climate change is making storms like Hurricane Ian stronger more quickly.” Axios and President Biden say the science is settled, “Biden says events like Hurricane Ian end climate change debate.”

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On the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory website, an overview of “global warming and hurricanes” by Tom Knutson, a senior scientist at NOAA and GFDL concluded,

In summary, it is premature to conclude with high confidence that human-caused increases in greenhouse gases have caused a change in past Atlantic basin hurricane activity that is outside the range of natural variability, although greenhouse gases are strongly linked to global warming.

In summary, neither our model projections for the 21st century nor our analyses of trends in Atlantic hurricane and tropical storm activity support the notion that greenhouse gas-induced warming leads to large increases in either tropical storm or overall hurricane numbers in the Atlantic.

In other words, there is scant evidence that hurricanes are either stronger or more frequent, and instead represent natural variability based on long existing cycles of ocean currents, solar activity, rainfall, and myriad other factors that influence weather. They also could not conclude that man-made global warming, assuming that such alleged warming too isn’t part of any of these cycles, is causing large increases in Atlantic storms and hurricanes.

I say “alleged warming” because NOAA data shows a gradual “global land and ocean” cooling trend from 2016 to present. How convenient that under “climate change”, the planet can either cool or warm without upsetting the political aspects of climate change.

The first recorded hurricane in Florida was in 1523, when Florida was a giant swamp. Were there hurricanes previously? Almost certainly but in those days and not until the past several decades did we have satellites and weather buoys to forecast and record early hurricanes far from the US, including those that hit the Caribbean Islands or blew out to sea. In the past, hurricanes were noted by ships in the area, meaning a severe hurricane could go undetected. Now satellites can detect a strong breeze over the South Atlantic.