December 21, 2024
Voters in California, New Jersey, South Dakota, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, and New Mexico are selecting their GOP and Democrat nominees in several primaries on Tuesday as the signs of a red wave continue to brew off both coasts.

Voters in California, New Jersey, South Dakota, Iowa, Mississippi, Montana, and New Mexico are selecting their GOP and Democrat nominees in several primaries on Tuesday as the signs of a red wave continue to brew off both coasts.

The mostly western states voting on Tuesday have several battles on the line, as Golden State voters in particular select nominees in many competitive primaries – and the first Republican who voted to impeach former President Donald Trump, in his second impeachment, is standing for reelection and will have to face the voters again. The fate of Rep. David Valadao (R-CA), who has a primary challenger, as well as the fates of several other establishment-aligned Republicans in California as well as in other states like Mississippi and South Dakota, will be decided Tuesday. The mayor’s race in Los Angeles is also interesting and could signal an even further leftward lurch of the Democrat party.

In other places, like New Jersey and Iowa, voters will select GOP nominees to take on vulnerable incumbent Democrats like Rep. Cindy Axne (D-IA) in Iowa’s third district and Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-NJ) in New Jersey’s seventh district.

In South Dakota, GOP Gov. Kristi Noem looks to make her reelection effort official as she aims to become the GOP nominee again in Tuesday’s primary election.

Trump, meanwhile, again has many endorsements on the line across several of these states – and should fare a lot better than he did a couple of weeks ago in Georgia. Many of Trump’s picks are doing much better in these states, and after the establishment media whipped out their obituary pens for Trump’s political power, many may have to begin reconsidering that narrative starting on Tuesday and continuing through June into July and August.

The polls close at 8 p.m. ET in New Jersey and Mississippi, 9 p.m. ET in Iowa, New Mexico, and South Dakota, 10 p.m. ET in Montana, and at 11 p.m. ET in California.

Follow along here for live updates as the results pour in from across the country.

UPDATE 1:33 a.m. ET:

Another Trump endorsement wins in California:

The only two Trump picks outstanding from tonight so far are Jay Obernolte in California’s 23rd district–he currently leads there–and Ryan Zinke in Montana’s first district. Zinke currently has a little more than a thousand vote lead with just over 60 percent reporting there.

UPDATE 12:50 a.m. ET:

In the Los Angeles mayor’s race, it appears that both Rep. Karen Bass (D-CA) and real estate developer Rick Caruso will be advancing to the general election in November. Caruso, while now saying he is a Democrat, previously had made donations to Republicans including Trump–something Bass, a far left radical Democrat, bashed him over during the primary. This could be a very interesting race come November, with Bass’s radical record on the line and Caruso’s more moderate streak in play. In other words, Los Angeles–one of the nation’s biggest cities–could very well vote to reject leftism in November.

UPDATE 12:46 a.m. ET:

Nothing is official yet, but it really isn’t looking good for establishment Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS) in Mississippi tonight:

Guest’s work against Chris McDaniel’s primary challenge of the late Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS) in 2014 may come back to haunt him now. He was a local prosecutor at the time and targeted supporters of McDaniel. Now, he voted to install the January 6 Committee in Washington, DC. All of this seems to be seriously costing him majorly now.

UPDATE 12:43 a.m. ET:

In Montana’s first district, Zinke has moved back in front by several hundred votes with 61 percent reporting.

UPDATE 12:39 a.m. ET:

Trump-backed Connie Conway also won the special election tonight in California to serve the remainder of the term of former Rep. Devin Nunes (R-CA):

This district has been eliminated in redistricting, but it’s another win for Trump in California.

UPDATE 12:32 a.m. ET:

Republican Mark Meuser has advanced to the general election in November for U.S. Senate in California where he will face incumbent Democrat Sen. Alex Padilla (D-CA):

UPDATE 12:27 a.m. ET:

With 59 percent reporting in Montana’s first district GOP primary according to the New York Times, Trump-backed former Rep. Ryan Zinke (R-MT)–a former cabinet secretary during the Trump administration–has slipped into second place and trails Al Olszewski by 11 votes. This race is way tighter than expected.

UPDATE 12:24 a.m. ET:

Several of Trump’s picks in California have advanced to the general election, including most notably House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy who Trump endorsed last week:

Reps. Doug LaMalfa (R-CA) and Ken Calvert (R-CA) have as well, and so has Republican Kevin Kiley:

UPDATE 12:20 a.m. ET:

It’s official: San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin has been recalled by voters from office:

UPDATE 12:01 a.m. ET:

Several news organizations including NBC News are projecting that San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin has been recalled from office:

UPDATE 11:56 p.m. ET:

Apparently that first batch in the San Francisco District Attorney recall race are mail votes:

UPDATE 11:53 p.m. ET:

San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin is in trouble, as a ballot measure to recall him appears to be performing strongly. With 45 percent reporting on that matter according to the New York Times, a strong majority of more than 61 percent so far support recalling Boudin while just less than 39 percent do not.

UPDATE 11:50 p.m. ET:

Republican Brian Dahle has advanced to the general election in the governor’s race in California:

Dahle will face incumbent Democrat Gov. Gavin Newsom in November. Newsom just fought back a recall election last year, and had a strong showing on Tuesday so this will be tough for the GOP to mount a winning campaign.

UPDATE 11:48 p.m. ET:

With the first returns coming in in the Los Angeles mayor’s race, real estate developer Rick Caruso leads Rep. Karen Bass (D-CA) by a little over 2 percent–or just over 5,000 votes–but with only 13 percent reporting it’s still anyone’s guess who wins this one.

UPDATE 11:45 p.m. ET:

Rep. Darrell Issa (R-CA) has advanced to the general election:

This is another Trump victory.

UPDATE 11:39 p.m. ET:

It looks like GOP Rep. Mike Garcia (R-CA) and Democrat Christy Smith will face off for a third time–Garcia won both a special election in 2020 and the general election in November that year–in November of this year:

UPDATE 11:35 p.m. ET:

Apparently that shift in Mississippi was a “reporting error”:

Bad break for the establishment though, as the challenger Michael Cassidy is back on top and a likely runoff looms depending on the final votes getting tallied.

UPDATE 11:22 p.m. ET:

With 82 percent reporting in Mississippi’s third district GOP primary, Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS) has slipped back under 50 percent and back into second place with just 46.6 percent. Challenger Michael Cassidy has retaken the lead with 47.8 percent now, according to the New York Times. This one is wild. It could be headed to a runoff, where Cassidy would probably be the odds-on favorite given how much his over-performance has shocked the political world.

UPDATE 11:17 p.m. ET:

Democrat Gov. Gavin Newsom has advanced to the November general election:

It remains to be seen who he will face, but right now the leading GOP vote-getter is Republican Brian Dahle–who is in second place in the open primary per the New York Times with 11 percent reporting so far.

UPDATE 11:14 p.m. ET:

The first votes are coming in now in California. In the third congressional district, Trump-backed Kevin Kiley is the leading Republican so far with 14 percent reporting. California’s primaries are open, so all candidates of all primaries are dumped together and the top two regardless of party advance to the general election in November.

At the top of the ticket, in the governor’s race open primary, incumbent Democrat Gov. Gavin Newsom–who survived a recall election last year–is dominating so far in the very early returns.

UPDATE 11:09 p.m. ET:

In Iowa, since Reps. Ashley Hinson (R-IA) and Randy Feenstra (R-IA as well as GOP Gov. Kim Reynolds all won their primaries–which were uncontested–along with Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA), Trump adds four more wins there to his record and goes perfect in another state with his endorsement.

Trump has really bounced back this week after a rough ending to May. He has a lot more on the line next week, too, though, so that could get interesting.

UPDATE 11:02 p.m. ET:

Polls just closed in California.

Also, several other race calls: Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-MT) won in the new district in Montana:

That’s a win for Trump.

In South Dakota, Rep. Dusty Johnson (R-SD) held off a primary challenge from the right:

But in Montana’s other congressional district–the new one thanks to redistricting–a barnburner race is shaping up. Former Rep. Ryan Zinke (R-MT)–who later served as Trump’s Interior Secretary–is only a few hundred votes ahead of his challenger. This race is tighter than expected and could be close.

UPDATE 10:59 p.m. ET:

Dave Wasserman from the Cook Political Report just picked up on the same thing:

UPDATE 10:57 p.m. ET:

A huge shift just happened in the GOP primary in Mississippi’s third district: With 76 percent reporting now according to the New York Times, Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS)–the incumbent establishment candidate–just retook the lead. He now has 51.2 percent compared to challenger Michael Cassidy’s 43.7 percent. If Guest can hang on with that margin, he would avoid a runoff. To do so, he needs to stay above 50 percent.

UPDATE 10:42 p.m. ET:

Republican Rep. Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ)–who switched parties because of Democrat impeachment shenanigans against then-President Donald Trump–has won his primary:

That makes Trump’s record in New Jersey perfect this cycle, as this was his only endorsement there, giving him another perfect state and another win.

UPDATE 10:39 p.m. ET:

Elsewhere in Mississippi, there will be a runoff in the 4th congressional district as incumbent Rep. Steven Palazzo (R-MS)–facing corruption allegations–well more than failed to amass 50 percent:

It remains to be seen who Palazzo will face, as challengers Mike Ezell and Clay Wagner are locked in a tight battle for second place.

UPDATE 10:36 p.m. ET:

Tom Kean Jr. has officially won the GOP nomination for Congress in New Jersey’s seventh congressional district:

Kean Jr. will face vulnerable incumbent Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-NJ) in November’s general election. This is a top pickup opportunity for Republicans.

UPDATE 10:32 p.m. ET:

Two official prognosticators have switched their official ratings of Iowa’s third congressional district to lean Republican from toss-up after Nunn’s decisive primary victory:

This is very bad news for the Democrats, and a sign the GOP is getting stronger going into November. If Axne loses, so too probably does House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

UPDATE 10:23 p.m. ET:

For more on Zach Nunn’s background, listen to and read this interview he did with Breitbart News late last year.

“We have a track record of success, we’ve been able to raise money, but most importantly, we’re fighting for those kinds of key principles that, you know — Donald Trump talked about — standing up to countries like China, being able to be hard on folks who just want to cave to the woke left,” Nunn said in it.

The audio of it is available here:

UPDATE 10:19 p.m. ET:

It’s official in Iowa’s third congressional district: Zach Nunn has won the GOP nomination and will face vulnerable Democrat incumbent Rep. Cindy Axne (D-IA) in November:

This seat is a top-five pickup opportunity for Republicans so expect a banner race here all year.

UPDATE 10:17 p.m. ET:

Michael Franken has won the Democrat nomination for U.S. Senate in Iowa, defeating former Rep. Abby Finkenauer (D-IA) in the primary:

Franken will face off against incumbent Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) in November. Grassley is the odds-on favorite to win in a deeply reddened Iowa, a state that’s been trending rightward in recent years.

UPDATE 10:12 p.m. ET:

With more than 50 percent–53 percent according to the New York Times–reporting in Mississippi’s third district GOP primary, the best hope for incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS) seems to be holding his primary challenger Michael Cassidy under 50 percent and advancing to a runoff.

Data trends that point to that are what many are looking for now:

UPDATE 10:02 p.m. ET:

Polls have now closed in Montana.

Down in Mississippi, with 47 percent reporting in the third district GOP primary, Michael Cassidy has increased his lead to nearly 4 full percent–he leads incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS) 48.8 percent to 45 percent. If Cassidy gets up above 50 percent, he could win without a runoff. This shocker definitely caught the political class off guard.

UPDATE 9:50 p.m. ET:

Mark Ronchetti has won the GOP nomination for governor in New Mexico:

This is a major pickup opportunity for Republicans. Ronchetti appeared on Breitbart News Saturday this weekend to discuss the campaign:

UPDATE 9:47 p.m. ET:

With Noem’s win in South Dakota, Trump has yet another perfect state–and another win. That puts him at 100 wins nationwide so far this year, too.

UPDATE 9:31 p.m. ET:

With 53 percent reporting in Iowa’s third congressional district GOP primary, Republican Zach Nunn appears cruising to victory. He currently has 70.6 percent of the vote–and his next closest challenger has just 19.6 percent.

UPDATE 9:30 p.m. ET:

Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) has formally won his primary:

UPDATE 9:28 p.m. ET:

With 16 percent reporting in Mississippi’s third district GOP primary, incumbent Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS) still trails his primary challenger Michael Cassidy by several percent. If he goes down in this race, that would be a huge unexpected loss for the establishment and a major win for the base. It remains to be seen what will happen here.

UPDATE 9:26 p.m. ET:

Just 20 minutes after the polls closed, GOP Gov. Kristi Noem of South Dakota has been declared the victor in her primary–a decisive win:

UPDATE 9:18 p.m. ET:

Vulnerable Democrat Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-NJ) has apparently parted ways with his campaign manager, a sign of potential serious trouble in paradise for Democrats:

UPDATE 9:15 p.m. ET:

In New Mexico’s GOP gubernatorial primary with just 2 percent reporting, Mark Ronchetti–a regular on Breitbart News radio on the Saturday program–is way out in front with more than 70 percent of the vote. Still early here, but he’s cruising.

UPDATE 9:14 p.m. ET:

The first votes are trickling in in Iowa, and as expected Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is doing remarkably well. The Democrat Senate primary is close, but only a few votes are in there.

UPDATE 9:13 p.m. ET:

Others are beginning to pick up on the possibility that Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS) is in trouble:

By the way, while it’s surprising to the political establishment, it’s not to regular readers of Breitbart News–this publication actually did a huge story on how the U.S. Navy under Democrat President Joe Biden was targeting him for his political views.

From Kristina Wong, the Pentagon correspondent here at Breitbart News, just a few weeks ago:

UPDATE 9:08 p.m. ET:

Elsewhere in Mississippi, in the first district, Rep. Trent Kelly (R-MS) has won his primary:

This was former President Donald Trump’s only endorsement in the state, so notch up another perfect state for Trump endorsements–and another win for the former president.

UPDATE 9:06 p.m. ET:

With 4 percent reporting in South Dakota’s GOP gubernatorial primary, incumbent Gov. Kristi Noem has taken a huge lead. She currently leads her primary challenger by more than 50 percent.

UPDATE 9:03 p.m. ET:

Don’t look now, but there’s a possible surprise brewing in Mississippi. Establishment Republican Rep. Michael Guest (R-MS), with 6 percent reporting according to the New York Times, is trailing his primary challenger Michael Cassidy by several percent. It’s still very early but could be something happening here.

UPDATE 9:01 p.m. ET:

The polls have now closed in Iowa, New Mexico, and South Dakota. Results are imminently expected in each state.

UPDATE 8:39 p.m. ET:

Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-NJ), the Democrat incumbent, has unsurprisingly won his primary:

Malinowski is very likely to face Republican Tom Kean Jr., who with 7 percent reporting so far in that race leads by more than 30 points–though that race has yet to be called.

UPDATE 8:17 p.m. ET:

The very first results are starting to come in from Mississippi as well, and everything there is too early to call–but again, no surprises are expected here tonight.

UPDATE 8:12 p.m. ET:

The first votes are trickling in in New Jersey. In the all important 7th district GOP primary, as expected, Tom Kean Jr. holds a lead with about 2 percent reporting so far. Republicans hope Kean wins this primary, and if he does he will be a formidable general election opponent to incumbent Democrat Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-NJ).

UPDATE 8:08 p.m. ET:

Former President Donald Trump has an opportunity to bounce back big time tonight after a rough ending to May with huge losses in Georgia, and has several endorsements on the line this evening. Per his team, the list of endorsements that Trump has on Tuesday around the country is as follows:

California:

California-01: LaMalfa, Doug
California-03: Kiley, Kevin
California-05: McClintock, Tom
California-20: McCarthy, Kevin
California-23: Obernolte, Jay
California-41: Calvert, Ken
California-48: Issa, Darrell

Iowa:
–
Iowa-Governor: Reynolds, Kim
Iowa-Senate: Grassley, Chuck
Iowa-01: Hinson, Ashley
Iowa-04: Feenstra, Randy

Mississippi:
–
Mississippi-01: Kelly, Trent

Montana:
–
Montana-01: Zinke, Ryan
Montana-02: Rosendale, Matt

New Jersey:
–
New Jersey-02: Van Drew, Jeff

South Dakota:
–
South Dakota-Governor: Noem, Kristi

UPDATE 8:04 p.m. ET:

The polls have closed in Mississippi and New Jersey. First results are expected to come in soon. Stay tuned for updates.

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