Authored by Eric Zuesse via OrientalReview.com,
TheĀ Ā Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll taken during 14-15 June 2023, shows the following net approval rating (āFavorableā minus āUnfavorableā) for all of the listed possible candidates:
-
+21% Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
-
+9% Elon Musk
-
+9% Tim Scott
-
+8% Vivek Ramaswamy
-
+5% Ron DeSantis
-
+4% Nikki Haley
-
-1% Bernie Sanders
-
-3% Donald Trump, Doug Bergum, Ted Cruz
-
-6% Maryanne Williamson
-
-7% Kevin McCarthy, Mike Pence, Asa Hutchinson
-
-8% Chuck Schumer
-
-10% Kamala Harris, Joe Manchin, Gavin Newsom
-
-11% Joe Biden
-
-12% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
-
-16% Chris Christie
-
-17% Hillary Clinton
-
-24% Mitch McConnell
Kennedy is tied with Trump for āFavorableā at 45% for each, but whereas Trump has a 48% āUnfavorableā rating, Kennedyās āUnfavorableā is only 25%.
So, if Party-affiliation were not a factor (which was the intention of Americaās Founders), then Kennedy would at the present time be the most preferred person to become President.
Musk ties with them on āFavorableā at 45%, and his āUnfavorableā is 36%; so, heās currently the second-most-preferred next President.
DeSantisās āFavorableā is 43%, while his āUnfavorableā is 37%; but the closest whole number reflecting the difference (his āNet Favorableā) is +5% not +6%.
Sandersās āFavorableā is 42%, while his āUnfavorableā is 43%; so, his āNet Favorableā is -1%.
Though Scott is tied with Musk at +9% āNet Favorable,ā Scottās āFavorableā is 10% less than Muskās, at 35% āFavorable.ā Scottās āUnfavorableā is 25%, as compared to Muskās 36% āUnfavorable.ā (Scott isnāt as well-known as is Musk.)
Ramaswamyās āFavorableā is 27%, and his āUnfavorableā is 18%; so, heās even less-well-known than is Scott.
The most-well-known possible candidates are Trump and Biden tied at 93% known.
Clinton is 90% known. Harris is 88% known. Sanders is 85% known.
Kennedy is only 70% known.
Thatās 30% unknown; so, though he is currently by far the leading candidate, he also is the major prospective candidate who can fall the farthest.
By contrast, Clinton is deeply disliked, at 53% āUnfavorable.ā
Biden too is deeply disliked, at 52% āUnfavorable.ā
Harris and McConnell are tied as both at 49% āUnfavorable.ā
The fifth-most disliked is Trump at 48% āUnfavorable.ā
The most-detested person on the list is McConnell at 49% āUnfavorableā and 26% āFavorable.ā
Since Americaās Founders failed to avoid there being political Parties, here are the answers to the Party-primary questions:
āIf the Democratic presidential primary for the 2024 election was held today, who would you vote for? (Dem Voters)ā:
Biden 62%, Kennedy 15%, Someone else 8%, Williamson 4%, Unsure 12%.
Trump gets 77% against Scott, and 67% against DeSantis.
āTRUMP WINS A HYPOTHETICAL HORSERACE AGAINST BIDEN BY SIX POINTS, AGAINST HARRIS BY SEVENā
(The polling organization failed to indicate whether RFK Jr. would today win against Trump, because the expectation is that he would but the megadonors who control U.S. āelectionsā are terrified of him and so the DNC canāt stand him. However, the pollster did publish that 69% of Democrats say theyād be disappointed if the two-Party contest ends up being Biden versus Trump. BY CONTRAST: The polling organizationĀ avoidedĀ asking a comparable question of Republicans; but, of the questions they did ask, Republicans seemed to be less-dissatisfied to have Trump be their nominee than Democrats clearly indicated that they would be if Biden turns out to be their nominee. Again: the pollster seems to have tried to avoid drawing favorable attention to RFK Jr. as possibly being the nominee.)
57% of voters think āJOE BIDEN TOOK A $5 MILLION BRIBE WHEN HE WAS VICE PRESIDENT.ā
(No Party-breakdown on that: Presumably, most of those 57% are Republican voters anyway.)
The pollsters avoided asking respondentsā race, probably because South Carolina was the earliest Democratic Party primary that Biden won, and he won by a huge margin, over two-to-one, against Sanders, especially among black voters, whoĀ dominateĀ that stateās Democratic Party; so, the DNC has now made that the first primary in the 2024 contest, since Biden was enormously popular among that stateās Democratic Party voters.
The expectation is that RFK Jr. willĀ get crushed in the S.C. primary, the first primary, on 3 February 2024. Next up will be February 6th with both NH and NV ā two states that Sanders had won.Ā Then February 13th with Georgia (another SC) expected to go overwhelmingly for Biden; then February 27th with Michigan being a crucial wild card. Then a slew ofĀ southern states, because it was the black voters who made Biden become the Partyās nominee.
So: Blacks will again end up choosing the Democratic Partyās nominee, and Whites will end up again determining the Republican Partyās nominee, and the billionaires wonāt need to worry about anything, because the public will see themselves as racially divided, instead of as being class-divided (billionaires versus the public), and things will therefore go on as they have been.
By far the most-favorably-viewed āInstitutionā of the eleven that are listed is āU.S. Military.ā
āPoliceā are #2. āFBIā is #3. #11 is āMAGA Republicans.ā #10 is āCNN.ā Tied as #s 7, 8, & 9, are MSNBC, BLM, and Fox News. In the middle are the Justice Department and U.S. Supreme Court.
Authored by Eric Zuesse via OrientalReview.com,
The Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll taken during 14-15 June 2023, shows the following net approval rating (āFavorableā minus āUnfavorableā) for all of the listed possible candidates:
-
+21% Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
-
+9% Elon Musk
-
+9% Tim Scott
-
+8% Vivek Ramaswamy
-
+5% Ron DeSantis
-
+4% Nikki Haley
-
-1% Bernie Sanders
-
-3% Donald Trump, Doug Bergum, Ted Cruz
-
-6% Maryanne Williamson
-
-7% Kevin McCarthy, Mike Pence, Asa Hutchinson
-
-8% Chuck Schumer
-
-10% Kamala Harris, Joe Manchin, Gavin Newsom
-
-11% Joe Biden
-
-12% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
-
-16% Chris Christie
-
-17% Hillary Clinton
-
-24% Mitch McConnell
Kennedy is tied with Trump for āFavorableā at 45% for each, but whereas Trump has a 48% āUnfavorableā rating, Kennedyās āUnfavorableā is only 25%.
So, if Party-affiliation were not a factor (which was the intention of Americaās Founders), then Kennedy would at the present time be the most preferred person to become President.
Musk ties with them on āFavorableā at 45%, and his āUnfavorableā is 36%; so, heās currently the second-most-preferred next President.
DeSantisās āFavorableā is 43%, while his āUnfavorableā is 37%; but the closest whole number reflecting the difference (his āNet Favorableā) is +5% not +6%.
Sandersās āFavorableā is 42%, while his āUnfavorableā is 43%; so, his āNet Favorableā is -1%.
Though Scott is tied with Musk at +9% āNet Favorable,ā Scottās āFavorableā is 10% less than Muskās, at 35% āFavorable.ā Scottās āUnfavorableā is 25%, as compared to Muskās 36% āUnfavorable.ā (Scott isnāt as well-known as is Musk.)
Ramaswamyās āFavorableā is 27%, and his āUnfavorableā is 18%; so, heās even less-well-known than is Scott.
The most-well-known possible candidates are Trump and Biden tied at 93% known.
Clinton is 90% known. Harris is 88% known. Sanders is 85% known.
Kennedy is only 70% known.
Thatās 30% unknown; so, though he is currently by far the leading candidate, he also is the major prospective candidate who can fall the farthest.
By contrast, Clinton is deeply disliked, at 53% āUnfavorable.ā
Biden too is deeply disliked, at 52% āUnfavorable.ā
Harris and McConnell are tied as both at 49% āUnfavorable.ā
The fifth-most disliked is Trump at 48% āUnfavorable.ā
The most-detested person on the list is McConnell at 49% āUnfavorableā and 26% āFavorable.ā
Since Americaās Founders failed to avoid there being political Parties, here are the answers to the Party-primary questions:
āIf the Democratic presidential primary for the 2024 election was held today, who would you vote for? (Dem Voters)ā:
Biden 62%, Kennedy 15%, Someone else 8%, Williamson 4%, Unsure 12%.
Trump gets 77% against Scott, and 67% against DeSantis.
āTRUMP WINS A HYPOTHETICAL HORSERACE AGAINST BIDEN BY SIX POINTS, AGAINST HARRIS BY SEVENā
(The polling organization failed to indicate whether RFK Jr. would today win against Trump, because the expectation is that he would but the megadonors who control U.S. āelectionsā are terrified of him and so the DNC canāt stand him. However, the pollster did publish that 69% of Democrats say theyād be disappointed if the two-Party contest ends up being Biden versus Trump. BY CONTRAST: The polling organization avoided asking a comparable question of Republicans; but, of the questions they did ask, Republicans seemed to be less-dissatisfied to have Trump be their nominee than Democrats clearly indicated that they would be if Biden turns out to be their nominee. Again: the pollster seems to have tried to avoid drawing favorable attention to RFK Jr. as possibly being the nominee.)
57% of voters think āJOE BIDEN TOOK A $5 MILLION BRIBE WHEN HE WAS VICE PRESIDENT.ā
(No Party-breakdown on that: Presumably, most of those 57% are Republican voters anyway.)
The pollsters avoided asking respondentsā race, probably because South Carolina was the earliest Democratic Party primary that Biden won, and he won by a huge margin, over two-to-one, against Sanders, especially among black voters, who dominate that stateās Democratic Party; so, the DNC has now made that the first primary in the 2024 contest, since Biden was enormously popular among that stateās Democratic Party voters.
The expectation is that RFK Jr. will get crushed in the S.C. primary, the first primary, on 3 February 2024. Next up will be February 6th with both NH and NV ā two states that Sanders had won. Then February 13th with Georgia (another SC) expected to go overwhelmingly for Biden; then February 27th with Michigan being a crucial wild card. Then a slew of southern states, because it was the black voters who made Biden become the Partyās nominee.
So: Blacks will again end up choosing the Democratic Partyās nominee, and Whites will end up again determining the Republican Partyās nominee, and the billionaires wonāt need to worry about anything, because the public will see themselves as racially divided, instead of as being class-divided (billionaires versus the public), and things will therefore go on as they have been.
By far the most-favorably-viewed āInstitutionā of the eleven that are listed is āU.S. Military.ā
āPoliceā are #2. āFBIā is #3. #11 is āMAGA Republicans.ā #10 is āCNN.ā Tied as #s 7, 8, & 9, are MSNBC, BLM, and Fox News. In the middle are the Justice Department and U.S. Supreme Court.
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